|
By Daniel Luban and Ali Gharib
WASHINGTON (IPS/GIN) - Secretary of Defense Robert Gates April 6 unveiled a
new military budget that aims to reorient the armed forces toward irregular
and counterinsurgency warfare while proposing cuts in several major weapons
programs.
The budget is viewed as a major step in the ongoing debate within the U.S.
military about whether to focus primarily on conventional warfare against
other states or on counterinsurgency operations against non-state actors.
But it is also likely to engender pushback from lawmakers and
defense-industry interests who are unhappy about cutbacks in lucrative
weapons programs.
The changes proposed by the new budget—while significant—are far from
marking a fundamental reshaping of the U.S. defense establishment, some
defense analysts caution.
“They're calling it a fundamental shift, and that's both true and false,”
said Miriam Pemberton, a research fellow at the Institute for Policy
Studies. “It's true because their budget proposes the most ambitious set of
cuts to well-entrenched weapons systems since the early 1990s.”
“It's false, though, because this budget perpetuates the upward trajectory
of defense spending, it's higher than any of the Bush budgets that preceded
it, and it increases funding for some programs that I think are a mistake,”
Ms. Pemberton continued.
The $534 billion budget for fiscal year 2010—which does not take into
account the “emergency supplemental” appropriations that pay for the wars in
Iraq and Afghanistan—marks a slight increase over the Bush administration's
budget for the previous year.
However, the breakdown of this spending will be considerably different from
previous years.
“These past few years have revealed underlying flaws in the priorities,
cultural preferences and reward structures of America's defense
establishment,” Defense Secretary Gates said. “There have been enough
studies, enough hand-wringing, enough rhetoric. Now is the time for action.”
Among the most notable cutbacks was the F-22 fighter program. Mr. Gates
announced that the Pentagon would end production after buying four more
fighters this year.
Rumors that Mr. Gates intended to kill the F-22—which was originally
designed in the Cold War to counter Soviet air power—led to a lobbying
campaign on Capitol Hill and in the media to save the fighter. A highly
publicized March article in the Atlantic by best-selling author Mark Bowden,
for example, warned that F-22 cutbacks would be “paid in the blood” of U.S.
fighter pilots.
Other cutbacks include missile defense, which will see its budget reduced by
$1.4 billion, and the Army's Future Combat Systems modernization program—the
vehicle component of which will be canceled.
However, the budget retained or even accelerated other programs that were
viewed as logical targets for cuts, such as the F-35 joint strike fighter.
F-35 purchases will be more than doubled from 14 in 2009 to 30 in 2010.
“I would give the budget a B to B-minus,” said William Hartung of the New
America Foundation. “They did a little less than half of what I'd hope
they'd do. But under Bush they would have done nothing or gone in the other
direction.”
If the budget cuts back on some high-profile conventional war programs, it
compensates by dramatically increasing funding for some irregular operations
and counterinsurgency programs.
Notably, Mr. Gates announced an additional $2 billion for intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance—including an additional 50 Predator and
Reaper unmanned aerial drones. The budget also proposes a five percent
expansion of Special Operations forces.
Defense analysts also caution that the budget is likely to face major
resistance in Congress from lawmakers whose districts benefit from defense
spending and who have been recipients of defense industry largesse.
“They are going to have a huge fight on their hands,” Ms. Pemberton said.
“Defense secretaries have often tried to cut weapons systems to little
avail, and this is just the first stage in the process.”
Already, Sens. Jeff Sessions and Richard Shelby of Alabama have signaled
their displeasure with the budget by placing a hold on the nomination of
Ashton Carter, who was slated to become the administration's undersecretary
of defense for acquisition, technology, and logistics.
The debate over the budget has divided many in the military into what are
sometimes called the “this-war” and “next-war” camps—that is, those focusing
on the needs of the current counterinsurgency operations in Iraq and
Afghanistan, and those focusing on the potential needs of a future conflict
against a state such as China.
Mr. Gates is widely considered to be one of the leaders of the “this-war”
camp. He warned against devoting resources to “over-insure against remote or
diminishing risk(s)” or to “run up the score” in areas where the United
States is already dominant at the expense of capabilities in Afghanistan and
Iraq.
But he also argued that the new budget did not mark a radical shift away
from conventional warfare, and that only about 10 percent of its spending
would be devoted to irregular warfare.
“This is not about irregular warfare putting the conventional capabilities
in the shade,” he said. “This is just a matter of giving the irregular-war
constituency a seat at the table for the first time.”
|